Early Picks

Pressed for time, so let's get down to business.


Best Bet: Broncos -3.5 over Jaguars

The Jaguars' pass defense has become a liability recently (26th ranked, 237.2 YPG allowed). Their offense has really struggled, and while the Denver defense has been terrible this year, they did show some life last week. The Broncos at home makes this even easier. Look for a high scoring game with Denver winning by a TD or more.

Confidence: 4.25/5


The Rest:

Houston -3 over Miami

Houston is better than their record. They've lost some close ones. They should be able to beat the Dolphins at home, especially with Schaub likely back in action this week. Their offense finally looked like it was coming together last week.
Confidence: 3.0/5

EDIT, 10/11
This picked has been subbed out for NY Jets -6. News came out today that Palmer is out. The Bengals should be pretty anemic without him.

Saints -7.5 over Oakland

I doubt the players are thrilled about Kiffin being fired. The Raiders are in shambles. The Saints should have a field day against the Raiders, especially if their run defense plays like it did against Minnesota.
Confidence: 3.5/5

Vikings -13 over Lions

The Vikings are at home, coming off a huge road win, playing against... Dan Orlovsky? The Lions seem even worse than the Raiders. They've given up 31+ points EVERY game. AP should explode in this one after being bottled up last week. This game will likely be put away by the end of the third quarter.
Confidence: 4.0/5

Bears -2.5 over Falcons

The Bears get no respect. The Falcons will have the throw the ball to stay in this game. The Bears defense will load up the box every play and force Ryan to beat them. I don't like his odds. The money is quickly going on the Bears (line has moved 1.5 points).
Confidence: 3.5/5

NY Giants -7.5 over Browns

Can anyone explain why the Browns are only 7.5 point dogs on this one? Is it the home field? The 19 points they dropped on Cincy? Did anybody even watch the Giants play last week? Burress is back this week, and the defense was superb last week. Cleveland was a sexy pick this off-season, but people should be realizing that they might have been using some smoke and mirrors last year. Could this game be the end of DA? The Giants should roll over Cleveland easily.
Condifence: 4.0/5